With India and South Africa securing their spots in the World Cup semifinals, the qualification scenario for the other teams in the competition is as follows:
Australia (10 points): Currently in third place, the Kangaroos need to win one of their two remaining matches against Afghanistan and Bangladesh to ensure a spot in the semis. If they lose both, they’ll need favorable results in other matches to advance.
New Zealand (8 points): Sitting in fourth place, the BlackCaps have no room for error. They must win their last match against Sri Lanka, but even a victory won’t guarantee a semis spot. They’ll also need Pakistan and Afghanistan to lose their remaining games.
If New Zealand loses, they’ll have to rely on significant losses by Pakistan, Afghanistan, Sri Lanka, and the Netherlands in their remaining contests.
Pakistan (8 points): The Men in Green are currently fifth and in a similar situation to New Zealand. They must win their last match against England by a big margin to improve their net run rate (0.036) compared to the Kiwis (0.398). If they lose, they’ll hope for significant losses by New Zealand, Afghanistan, Lanka, and the Netherlands.
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Afghanistan (8 points): Currently in sixth place, Afghanistan needs to win their remaining matches against Australia and South Africa to secure a semis spot. Beating Australia will be a tough challenge.
If Afghanistan loses one or both matches, their only hope is for New Zealand and Pakistan to lose their remaining games by big margins.
Netherlands (4 points): The Dutch are in ninth place and face a tough task. They need to win their remaining matches against England and India by significant margins, which seems improbable. It also depends on other teams (New Zealand, Pakistan, Afghanistan, and Sri Lanka) losing by big margins. One more defeat will likely end their campaign.